Super Wild Card Weekend Player Props
Super Wild Card weekend is here and even though we’ve seen most of these divisional teams play each other before we should have a few exciting ones such as the Chargers versus the Jaguars. These two team are in much different places than the last time they faced each other. Keenan Allen is back and Justin Herbert wont be playing timid due to broken rib cartilage. The numbers are get even tighter during the playoff but i founds a few players in good spots.
Elijah Mitchell (SF-RB) OVER 36.5 rush yds - When I expect a team is going to have a big lead I generally like to target the running back who will have clean up duty. Elijah Mitchell is more than a clean-up duty running back.
He is no Jordan Mason, no offense to Jordan Mason, but Mitchell is more experienced and won’t come in only at the end of the game. When he came back last week from IR, he was eased back in with 5 rush attempts and went for 55 yds. He averaged 11 yds.per carry. He will be used intermittently as he was before his reinjury. When CMAC got to the 49ers, Mitchell was used intermittently until he got hurt again. You can argue that they were just easing in Christian McCaffrey and that's why Elijah Mitchell got that much work, but Mitchell still had 9 attempts week 11 and 7 rush attempts in week 12 where he got injured.
CMAC is still dealing with a knee issue, and they should have a lead early and often. I except Mitchell to get at least 7- 8 attempts in this game with more than just clean up duty. The Seattle Seahawks rank 29th in run defense. San Francisco’s offensive line is much better in the trenches than Seattle’s defensive line.
George Kittle (SF-TE) OVER 40.5 rec yds – This number is a bit low, maybe the public is down on Kittle because of his last few games, but the only thing Seattle is worse at than defending the run, it’s defending the tight end position.
They rank dead last and the last time Kittle played them he had 4 rec/ 93 yds/ 2 td’s. I’ve been targeting them in props and the fantasy game all season long. George has had a resurgence. He’s Brock Purdy’s guy clearly and should go over this number.
Austin Ekeler (LAC-RB) OVER 35.5 rec yds - When Mike Williams is out, Austin sees an up tick in receptions. You can throw on the Jaguars. They are top 4 in receptions allowed to running backs, allowing 8 yds per reception. In the five games Mike Williams was out, Austin had a minimum of 5 receptions in four of those games. His receptions prop is at 5 and I do expect him to go over this number and go over 35.5 rec yds.
Gerald Everett (LAC-TE) OVER 31.5 rec yd - This should be a high scoring affair. JAX allowing the 5 most receiving yards to the tight end. Mike Williams most likely out so some extra targets will be funneled his way.
Stefon Diggs (BUF-WR) OVER 77.5 rec yds - Not much analysis besides he will shred the Dolphins.
Greg Joseph (MIN-K) OVER 1.5 FG - This game is also expected to be high scoring and I think alot of those points will come from the kicker. Giants allowing the third most field goals to teams in the last four weeks and Joseph had 3 last time he played them.
Dak Prescott (DAL-QB) OVER 1.5 pass Td’s - I know Dak didn’t look good against Washington but I think he knew Philly had already clinched and the game didn’t really mean anything. I am not buying into any of the narratives the sports media and Twitter are pushing. I don’t care that Brady is undefeated against the Cowboys, or what the Cowboys record is when playing on turf versus grass. The Bucs have stunk this year. They have not been playing good football all season. The Cowboys are a much better team overall and their body of work for the season is much better. Dak will show up big for this game and easily go over 1.5 pass Td’s.