Super Bowl 59: Player Props

Super Bowl LIX (59) Props 2024-2025

The big game is finally here. Let’s make it count. Hope you have a safe and fun time with your family and friends. Savor it and hold onto it until next year!

Gamescript: In order for the Eagles to pull this off, they need to get out in front early and in order to maintain the lead and sit on the ball with Barkley and Jalen rushing. The Philly birds have trouble playing from behind so it’s critical they take a huge lead and force the Chiefs to play from behind.

That being said I don’t see this as being a huge Barkley game. On the flip side, King Patrick Mahomes needs to attack the middle of the field, using his legs to extend plays while dinking and dunking to the likes of Kelce, Noah Gray, and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Brandon Graham (DE) for the Eagles has been on IR making the middle of the field the most vulnerable aspect of the Philly defense. It’s worth noting he may play in the Super Bowl as his possible last game with Philadelphia, but I’m not confident he will be at full strength leaving this area as the best one to attack with one of many weapons at at Mahomes disposal.

I have the Chiefs accomplishing what’s never been done in the NFL becoming the first team to 3-peat by win 3 championships in a row. Even though the Eagles have a better roster top to bottom on paper versus the Chiefs in this matchup, but this years Chiefs team is arguably the best one they’ve had playing in the Super Bowl. I’m giving advantage Chiefs because of Mahomes and the coaching staff. He’s gotten it done with Sky Moore, Mecole Hardman and Kadarious Toney, and until a team can take him down, he will find a way to get it done again and remain King.

Final Score: 24-20, CHIEFS

My recommended picks suggest this game-script.

  • Dallas Goedart OVER 4.5 recs

    • The Chiefs ranked bottom five in the reg season against the TE, allowing an average of 6.6 receptions and 70 yds per game

    • Goedart went 7-85 last week.

  • Travis Kelce OVER 5+ recs

    • Kelce should be in full playoff mood. Zack Ertz saw 16 targets and had 11 recs last week. Tyler Higbee saw 10 targets and caught 7 of them the week prior.

    • The middle of the field has been the soft spot of the Philly defense. They have great perimeter defense and have ranked 2nd in stopping the run.

  • Noah Gray OVER 1.5 recs - See above notes

  • JuJu Smith-Schuster OVER 16.5 rec yds

    • Chiefs need to attack the midle of the field and while the Kelce is being bracketed, that will leave open Juju who has the abiltity to get some yards after the catch,

  • Patrick Mahomes OVER 29.5 rush yds

    • Come playoff time he runs. He was recently quoted, and I’m paraphrasing, “ I ask these guys to put their bodies on the line every single week. So I have to do it as well when it's do or die time.

    • Rushed 6-44 yds the last time they met up in the Super Bowl 2 years ago. 

    • Last week he went 11-43.

    • Last year's Super Bowl he had 9 attempts for 66 rush yds.

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Accountability: 2024 Regular Season Props Review