2024 NFL Week 6: OVER/ UNDER Player Props

NFL Week 6 - Updated with results 10/15/2024

Welcome back! Week 6 is already here but we are ready and in the zone. We still got some of our favorite teams to attack like the Commanders. Good Luck!!

Make sure to check back for any updates.

Late Additions 10/12/2024

I have been waiting on Austin Ekeler props all weekend. I am trying to remember the last time I was more sure about anything than Ekeler’s props. Hammer all his props.

• Austin Ekeler OVER 65.5 rush+rec yds - Hit (68 rush+recs)

• Austin Ekeler OVER 2.5 recs - Hit (4 recs)

• Austin Ekeler OVER 3+ recs - Hit (4 recs)

• Austin Ekeler OVER 4+ recs - Hit (4 recs)

Thursday

• Kenneth Walker OVER 18.5 rec yds - Hit (37 recs)

• Kenneth Walker OVER 3.5 recs - Hit (8 recs)

• Brock Purdy OVER 252.5 pass yds - Hit (255 pass yds)

• Deebo Samuel OVER .5 Anytime td - Hit (1 Anytime Td)

Sunday

• Caleb Williams OVER 225.5 pass yds - Hit (226 pass yds)

  • Jacksonville ranks dead last in the league against the pass. They’ve allowed an average of 298 pass yds per game. Caleb has been making adjustments in-game and his progression each week is noticeable.

• Ja’Maar Chase OVER 72.5 rec yds - Miss (72 rec yds)

  • He’s been on a tear last 3 gmes and he should continue against the Giants single high coverage.

• Jayden Reed OVER 59.5 rec yds - Miss (28 rec yds)

  • He destroys against the coverage Arizona deploys. When Jordan Love is iin the game, Jayden has been averaging 188 yds in the last three games played with Jordan Love.

• Tony Pollard OVER 56.5 rush yds - Hit (93 rush yds)

  • Tony is coming off a bye so he should have fresh legs going up against the colts who rank in the bottom 12 against the run. Tenesee’s O-line hsould have the advantage. Indy has allowed an average 119 rush yds. per game.

• James Conner OVER 66.5 rush yds - Miss (24 rush yds)

  • Green Bay has allowed an average of 92 yds per game against the rush. James Conner has been running really well and averaging 83 rush yds in the last 4 weeks.

• Zay Flowers OVER 55.5 rec yds - Miss (132 rec yds)

  • Washington ranks 30th  last against the pass and we have been targeting them every week. No reason to stop now. Zay can do this in 1 play, maybe 2. You beat the Commanders through the air. They’ve allowed an average of 158 yds per game.

• Bijan Robinson OVER 67.5 rush yds - Hit (97 rush yds)

  • Carolina was gashed by D’Andre Swift for 73 yds. Let that sink in, D’Andre Swift who will probably never hit that number again this year. Last time I checked with my eyes, Bijan is a much more talented running back. This should be a complete rout by the Falcons and Bijan should be killing off the clock by running the rock. Carolina has allowed an average of 128 rush yds per game.

• Drake London OVER 65.5 rec yds - Hit (74 rec yds)

  • Kirk Cousins should have his way with the Carolina defense. Carolina ranks in the bottom 7 against the pass. They gave up 5 recs, 105 rec yds and 2 Td’s to DJ Moore last week.

• Tank Dell OVER 53.5 rec yds - Hit (57 rec yds)

  • Nico Collins has been placed on IR and Tank will slide right in to replace Nico and grab those deep shots Stroud loves to throw.

• A.J. Brown OVER 68.5 rec yds - Hit (116 rec yds)

  • Coming off a bye week and should be fully healthy. The Browns defense is not what they have been in years past. They rank in the bottom 12 against wide receivers, allowing an average of 139 rec yds per week. They gave up 112 rec yds to Terry McClaurin. AJ Brown should torch them.

• Darius Slayton OVER 49.5 rec yds - Hit (57 rec yds)

  • Malik Nabers is out again. Daniel Jones has shown he has a connection with Slayton and can hit this number with one catch but we’ll say realistically 2 catches on a weak Bengals secondary.

• David Montgomery OVER .5 Anytime TD - Hit (2 rush td’s)

  • Dallas is decimated on defense. The Lions are going to have their way with Dallas. They should have no problem running the ball.

• Tank Bigsby OVER 38.5 rush yds - Miss (24 rush yds)

  • Travis Etienne has been dealing with a shoulder injury, which he re-aggravated last week. You beat Chicago on the ground. They have allowed an average of 102 rush yds. per game. This game will be played in London and a young and inexpereinced team in Chicago, could find themselves playing from behind most of the game with the Jaguars killing clock time by running the ball.

Monday

Smash everything Breece Hall tonight. If for at least one week to switch things up a bit, we should see a heavier dose of Breece Hall on Sleeper and Prize Picks.

• Breece Hall OVER 3.5 recs - Hit (5 recs)

• Breece Hall OVER 58.5 rush yds - Hit (113 rush yds)

• Breece Hall OVER 86.5 rush+rec yds - Hit (169 rush+recs)

• Breece Hall OVER 26.5 rec yds - Hit (56 rec yds)

• Breece Hall OVER Anytime TD - Miss (0 anytime td)

• Dalton Kincaid OVER 4.5 recs - Hit (6 recs)

  • James Cook and Khalil Shakir are both banged up. Bills could rely heavier on the run game and tight ends, putting both Kincaid and Dawson Knox in liine for more work.

• Dawson Knox OVER 8.5 rec yds - Hit (12 rec yds)

• Ray Davis OVER 11.5 rush yds - Hit 97 (rush yds)

  • James Cook hasn’t been practicing all week with a toe and ankle injury setting up Ray Davis for more work.

Week 6 Total: 23-6,  79%

Season Total: 107-27, 80%