Week 11 Over/Under Player Props
Week 11 Player Props
TNF
Should be a wet and sloppy game due to the weather In Carolina. I expect a heavy dose of running from both sides. Mariotta can’t throw when it’s dry so he won’t be throwing well in the rain.
Henry OVER 99.5 rush yds. – He’s coming off a down game but Green Bay ranks in the bottom 11 in stopiig the run. Tony Pollard just ran for 115 on Green Bay, and Jamal Williams ran for 81 yds against them the previous week. It’s getting colder in the season so you know what that means, it’s King Henry season. Titans will lean heavily on Henry once again and should easily go over 100.
Aaron Rodgers OVER 243.5 pass yds - Weather concerns are bringing this number down. I’m not afraid of the weather. Rodgers is in good spot here for our purpose to throw the ball a lot. The way tp beat the Titans is through the air. They’ve been great at stopping the run. Russell Wilson just threw for over 280 on them and Mahomes threw for 331.
Aaron Jones 0VER 23.5 rec yds - As I mentioned earlier Titans play great at stopping the run. Jones is coming off a 100 yd rushing performance but it’s the receiving area is where he will primarily do his damage.
Sunday
Darnell Mooney OVER 48.5 rec yds – I expected a bigger game for Mooney last week but he still hit his props. I’m going right back to him. His props went up only five yards at a time when he’s been re-energized with Justin Fields’ ascension. Atlanta ranks 31 in points allowed to wide receivers He’s facing off against Isaiah Oliver in the slot which is one of the main reasons they ranks so low.
D’Onta Foreman - UNDER 60.5 - Baltimore is great at stopping the run and they got back most of their guys on defense. They are healthy now and will start to really turn it up the rest of the season. They held Alvin Kamara to 33 rush yds last week on the road. I expect them tp dp the same at home against Carolina.
Darius Slayton OVER 45.5 rec yds - Darius has reconnected with Daniel Jones. Hes the most trust worthy pass catcher on that team. He should get it done against a Detroit team that bleeds offense to opposing teams all season.
Terry McLaurin OVER 59.5 rec yds - Teams generally run on Houston but since Taylor Heinicke took over as Qb, Terry McLaurin has come back to football relevance and will easily tear up the rookie CB Derek Stingley who ranks near the top of the league in yards allowed.
Najee Harris UNDER 52.5 rush yds - Dealing with a knee injury and Jaylen Warren is getting more involved. Steelers will be in a pass heacy script to keep up with Burrow and friends.
Stefon Diggs OVER .5 rec td - Hasn’t scored a touchdown in two games. Coming off a disappointing loss, the Bills want to make a statement and that will involve Diggs.
Austin Ekeler OVER 43.5 rush yds - This number is super low. Charger will get back Keenan Allen and Mike Williams back this week which should benefit Austin. He could have this number by halftime.
Courtland Sutton OVER 62.5 rec yds - Jerry Jeudy will be sidelined and the Raiders allowing 150 yds to receivers a week.
Monday
Christian McCaffrey - UNDER 65.5 rush yds - Elijah Mitchell came back and out touched CMAC 18-14 and he looked good. It does make sense to split the touches to keep him healthy.
Brandon Aiyuk - OVER 54.5 rec yds - He’s gone under this number only three times this season and he’s gone over 80 yds his last 4 games. Brandon Aiyuk has been the Niner’s most productive receiver this year NOT Deebo Samuel.
James Conner - UNDER 47.5 rush yds - The Niners are allowing the fewest rushing yds to running backs this season. Cardinals will have to ditch the run and throw often to keep up.